Evan Gershkovich was in Yekaterinburg
in March 2023 reporting for The Wall Street Journal when he was arrested by
Russia’s Department for Counterintelligence Operations (DKRO) and charged with
espionage. This marked the first time a journalist from the United States had
been held on such charges since the Cold War. According to the Wall Street
Journal, who vehemently deny the allegations against Gershkovich, the DKRO has
“intensified its operations in recent years as the conflict between Moscow and
Washington worsened.” Russia also charged Paul Whelan, a former US Marine, with
spying in 2018, and detained Trevor Reed, another former Marine, for assaulting
a police officer in 2019.
These arrests highlight the extent to
which America’s adversaries are willing to violate international and human
rights laws to gain diplomatic leverage at the expense of high-profile American
targets. The history of prisoner exchanges in US foreign policy is intertwined
with the concept of hostage diplomacy, the deliberate strategy of using
individuals, often foreign nationals, as pawns in international disputes. This
tactic, used by both state and non-state actors, involves the capture or
detention of individuals from one country and leveraging their release as a
bargaining chip to achieve political, diplomatic, or economic goals.
Hostage diplomacy is seen as a
violation of international law and human rights, as it places innocent
individuals in harm’s way for political gains. In the past, authoritarian
regimes who have historically been at odds politically with the United States,
mainly China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran, have presented arbitrary arrests
of Western journalists and nongovernmental organization staff stationed in
their countries as the basis for claims of espionage or threats to national
security.
Similarly, in an attempt to exert
political leverage over Washington, US adversaries will often exploit
hostage-taking as a means of “asymmetrical warfare”—particularly nations such
as Iran, North Korea, and Venezuela, who have achieved a “pariah status” on the
global stage, according to a recent Soufan Center report. The report further
indicates such actions do not occur “in a vacuum,” but rather underscore the
nature of today’s complex global security environment whereby post-Cold War
great-power rivalries continue to transcend the limits of multilateral
cooperation.
The recent Hamas-Israel prisoner
exchanges have taken place through mediated negotiations involving various
actors, including Egypt, Germany, the United States, and Qatar. The
International Committee of the Red Cross has also been involved to help facilitate
the release process in Gaza.
Hamas has seemingly succeeded in
imposing its will and forcing the Israeli government to engage in prisoner
exchange deals, leading to the release of both Israeli hostages and Palestinian
prisoners. The exchanges resulted from prolonged negotiations and have been
accompanied by temporary ceasefires to facilitate the process.
For Hamas, the release of Palestinian
prisoners had the potential to boost its public support, particularly in the
Israeli-occupied West Bank, where many of the freed Palestinians have returned.
On the other hand, the prisoner
exchanges have presented a complex challenge for Israel. While the release of
Israeli hostages has been a priority, the exchange has also involved the
release of Palestinian prisoners, some of whom have been involved in violent
crimes and terrorist activities. Many, however, were held under arbitrary
detention without trial.
This has sparked debates about the moral equivalency between the two groups and has raised concerns about the potential security risks associated with the release of these prisoners.
Historical Background: Prisoner
Exchanges and Hostage Diplomacy
Throughout US history, several
incidents have underscored the complexities of hostage diplomacy and the role
of prisoner exchanges. One of the most prominent examples occurred during the
Iranian Revolution of 1979, when American diplomats and embassy staff were held
hostage at the US embassy in Tehran for 444 days. This event marked a turning
point in US-Iran relations and demonstrated the challenges of hostage
diplomacy. It also set the stage for subsequent developments in the realm of
prisoner exchanges.
North Korea has a history of
detaining foreign citizens, often on dubious charges, as a means of exerting
pressure on other governments. The dictatorship has arrested several South
Korean and Japanese citizens, but is perhaps most infamous for the imprisonment
of American college student Otto Warmbier in 2016. Warmbier fell into a coma
soon after his detention, and when he was finally released in 2017 he was in a
vegetative state. He died shortly after.
Following America’s War on Terror and
subsequent conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan, a rise in the Islamic State and
al-Qaeda-orchestrated abductions, particularly among Westerners, began to
occur. Nasser al-Wuhayshi, the former second-in-command of Yemen-based al-Qaeda
in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), wrote in a 2012 letter to the leader of an
al-Qaeda affiliate in North Africa that “kidnapping hostages was a profitable
trade and a precious treasure.” From 2011 to 2013, AQAP was estimated to have
raised nearly $20 million from kidnap-for-ransom funding and “al Qaeda and its
direct affiliates had received at least $125 million in revenue from
kidnappings since 2008—primarily from European governments. In the last year
alone [2016], they received 66 million dollars.”
As a result, former President Barack
Obama issued a review of the government’s response to hostage-taking overseas.
The findings of the investigation suggested the government must continue to
evolve its strategies following the unprecedented shift in the abduction and
brutal treatment, often ending in death, of numerous Americans captured abroad.
Obama issued an executive order in 2015 prioritizing a whole-of-government
approach in reforming US hostage policy including the creation of a new
position, the special presidential envoy for hostage affairs. Roger D. Carstens
has been in this position since March 2, 2020. His role is to lead and
coordinate activities across the executive branch to bring home US national
hostages and “wrongful detainees held abroad, support their families, and end
the practice of hostage diplomacy.” Carstens has characterized the US approach
to hostage-taking as a complex and high-stakes diplomatic endeavor. He has
emphasized that multi-agency efforts are involved in bringing home hostages,
particularly in regions like Gaza where intermediaries, such as Qatar, play a
crucial role. Carstens has stressed the confidentiality of negotiations, citing
the fragility of deals and the potential collapse if details are prematurely
disclosed. In a recent interview, he acknowledged the challenging nature of
negotiating with entities like Hamas and the need for discretion.
The policy also established the
Hostage Recovery Fusion Cell, a permanent agency staffed with various
government entities from the FBI, the State Department, the Departments of
Justice and the Treasury, and the intelligence community whose sole purpose is
to coordinate the recovery of abducted Americans abroad. The Hostage Recovery
Fusion Cell aims to ensure best-practice solutions for hostage recovery plans
and the tracking of abducted Americans, while trying to maintain consistent,
transparent communication with families and loved ones, Congress, and the
media.
There has been a recent slew of
Americans wrongfully detained or held hostage overseas, including Whelan and
women’s basketball player Brittney Griner, who was arrested in Moscow on
drug-related charges in February 2022, two days before Russia’s invasion of
Ukraine. The Biden administration resolved the Griner case through a prisoner
swap in which the United States released Viktor Bout, a Russian arms dealer, in
return for Griner.
The James W. Foley Legacy Foundation
was established in 2014 to honor the US journalist who was killed by the
Islamic State. According to the organization, there are currently sixty-four
publicly disclosed hostage and wrongfully detained Americans abroad.
As a result of the growing
international recognition such cases are gaining, President Joe Biden branded
the wrongful and unlawful detentions of US nationals abroad as a national
emergency, issuing a new executive order in July 2022 reaffirming his commitment
to ensuring the safe return of Americans held captive overseas, which he
constituted as “an unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security,
foreign policy, and economy of the United States.” The order provided
additional tools for the US government to impose costs, including sanctions on
terrorist organizations, criminal groups, and malevolent actors—as well as
individuals who are indirectly involved in attempting to capture or wrongfully
detain American citizens abroad for financial or political gains.
A Case Study: Iran Uses “Arrest” of
US Journalist as Leverage in Nuclear Talks
In 2014, Jason Rezaian, the former
Tehran bureau chief for the Washington Post was arrested, along with his wife,
at their home in Iran. Rezaian was initially arrested on espionage charges as a
result of claims he was serving as the Central Intelligence Agency’s Tehran
station chief. According to Rezaian, the timing of his arrest was no mere
coincidence. He was reporting on negotiations between the United States and
Iran over the nuclear deal known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action
(JCPOA), and Rezaian believes his arrest was a gambit by Iran to extract
concessions from the Obama administration. After serving 544 days in Iran’s
infamous Evin Prison, known for its brutal conditions, Rezaian was eventually
released in the hours leading up to the implementation of the JCPOA.
In September 2023, the two countries
participated in a prisoner swap that signified a partial thaw in their
long-standing adversarial relationship. In this exchange, five American
citizens held in Iran were released into custody in Qatar, where they stayed
briefly before heading home to the United States. In exchange, the United
States released five Iranians and unblocked $6 billion in frozen Iranian oil
funds held in South Korea. However, Biden imposed new sanctions on Iran’s
intelligence ministry and former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad for their
involvement in wrongful detentions.
The negotiations for this deal took
several months and represent a noteworthy breakthrough despite the ongoing
disagreements between the two nations over various issues, including the JCPOA,
military support for Russia, and domestic suppression of dissent. The prisoner
swap was brokered by Qatar, which hosted several rounds of indirect meetings
between the United States and Iran since March 2022, and Biden expressed
gratitude to the Qatari government as well as Oman, Switzerland, and South
Korea, who all assisted in securing the releases.
The deal stipulated the release of
five US citizens with dual nationality from Iranian custody in exchange for the
return of five Iranians. Two of the Iranian detainees returned to Iran, two
remained in the United States at their request, and the fifth joined his family
in an undisclosed country. Among the released US citizens is Siamak Namazi, who
had been held since 2015. Secretary of State Antony Blinken emphasized that
there is no higher priority for Biden than ensuring the return of unjustly
detained Americans. Namazi’s case gained international attention, and he was
described as the “longest-held Iranian-American imprisoned in Iran.” His family
is part of the Bring Our Families Home campaign, which advocates for the
release of wrongful detainees and hostages. Namazi’s image is featured in a
fifteen-foot mural in Washington, D.C., along with other Americans wrongfully
detained abroad. Since the onset of his presidency, Biden has overseen the
release of thirty-five Americans wrongfully detained overseas.
Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman
Nasser Kanaani announced the release of the frozen assets, which were
originally back payments owed to Iran from South Korea for past crude oil
purchases that were blocked due to US sanctions. South Korea stopped purchasing
Iranian oil after former President Donald Trump reimposed sanctions on Iran in
2018. In November 2018, South Korea was granted a waiver from the United States
on Iranian oil imports and financial transactions. However, in 2021, the row
between Iran and South Korea worsened over billions of dollars in Iranian oil
funds frozen by US sanctions. Tehran demanded the release of approximately
seven billion dollars of its funds held in South Korean banks.
The Republican opposition in the
United States criticized the move, calling it a ransom payment. Senator Tom
Cotton stated: “First Joe Biden used 9/11 as an excuse to flee Afghanistan. Now
he desecrates this day by paying ransom to the world’s worst state sponsor.”
The White House defended the deal, emphasizing that Qatar would maintain
control of the assets and ensure the funds are used for humanitarian purposes
and not items under US sanctions including food, medicine, and agricultural
products.
The status of US-Iran relations
remains uncertain. While European allies hope that progress on the detainee
issue may lead to more productive nuclear talks, expectations remain low, given
Iran’s recent stance and actions regarding its nuclear program. US-Iran
relations have been marked by tensions and challenges, with Washington
expressing concerns about Iranian foreign policy, including support for
terrorism and the pursuit of weapons of mass destruction. Tehran, on the other
hand, has accused the US of undermining its government and pursuing a hostile
agenda.
Qatar has played a significant role
in mediating prisoner swaps between the United States and Iran, involving the
transfer of funds and the release of detainees. The Qatari government has
facilitated shuttle diplomacy and served as a mediator to broker deals between
the involved parties. In the case of the US-Iran prisoner swap, Qatar mediated
the transfer of nearly seven billion dollars in Iranian funds, which was a key
component of the agreement. The funds were to be administered by Qatar and used
for humanitarian purposes, as per the terms of the agreement. The Qatari
mediation has been instrumental in enabling the release of detainees and the
transfer of funds, contributing to the resolution of hostage-related issues
between the United States and Iran.
Methods Employed in Prisoner
Exchanges
Prisoner exchanges hold significance
beyond the mere release of individuals. They often serve as a springboard to
create diplomatic channels and rebuild trust between nations with strained
relations. Hostage releases are often promoted by administrations to
demonstrate how much they care about their citizens, but they also show that
the government can use diplomacy, rather than military action, to resolve
conflicts. Prisoner exchanges can set the stage for discussions on critical
issues, as exemplified by the recent swap between the United States and Iran,
which rekindled indirect dialogue on Iran’s nuclear program.
The United States has different
methods to procure the release of prisoners. However, diplomatic negotiations
are typically the primary means of securing the release of detainees. These
negotiations may involve direct talks with the detaining country or intermediaries
facilitating discussions. Intermediaries often play a crucial role in
maintaining a level of confidentiality and providing a channel for
communication, especially when official diplomatic relations are strained.
Individuals with diplomatic expertise
and a track record of international negotiations have played pivotal roles in
facilitating the release or exchange of US hostages. One such individual was
Bill Richardson, a former US diplomat and politician who died in September
2023. Richardson served as the governor of New Mexico and as a US ambassador to
the United Nations, and he used this experience to establish rapport with
international counterparts. Through his nonprofit, the Richardson Center for
Global Engagement, Richardson was able to secure the release of dozens of
Americans held captive abroad.
Richardson could engage with nations
that were not typically open to formal diplomatic channels. He met with Iraqi
President Saddam Hussein in 1995, Cuban President Fidel Castro in 1996, and
Myanmar’s junta in 2021. This often led to criticism from human rights
activists, but Richardson continued his “fringe diplomacy” and was nominated
several times for the Nobel Peace Prize, including in August 2023.
Conditions for Prisoner Exchanges
Although the United States has
maintained a longstanding policy of providing no concessions to terrorist
groups during hostage crises, there remains some flexibility when negotiating
with a state who has wrongly detained a US citizen, even arbitrarily for
political purposes. There are numerous factors that can create opportune
conditions for prisoner exchanges.
There has to be a willingness on the
part of both the detaining country and the country seeking the release of its
citizens to engage in dialogue. This willingness signifies a readiness to
explore diplomatic solutions to the crisis. The convergence of geopolitical
interests may create favorable conditions for exchanges. For example, the
release of American prisoners may be sought in exchange for economic assets,
concessions, or the resolution of broader international issues.
The involvement of neutral
third-party mediators, such as Switzerland, Qatar, or an international
organization, can facilitate negotiations by providing a trusted space for
dialogue and helping to bridge gaps between the parties involved. The
participation of an outside mediator, however, blurs the line of the US
government’s policy of no concessions in hostage situations.
For decades, relations between the
United States and Iran have remained fraught, mainly over Iran’s nuclear
ambitions, its regional influence, and its ability to project power through
supporting its vast network of regional proxies. By default, hostage diplomacy
often becomes interwoven into the geopolitical dynamic of the two adversaries.
When engaging with a non-state actor,
such as terrorists or criminals, compared to a nation-state, hostage diplomacy
efforts are viewed with even further scrutiny, considering conflict resolution
typically relies on frameworks based on diplomatic protocols and international
law. Negotiating with non-state actors, or “rogue” states is often viewed as
ethically or morally unacceptable, and undermines established international
norms.
Furthermore, US law prohibits ransom
payments to groups or individuals considered “foreign terrorists” as designated
by the State Department, yet there is no such limitation when negotiating with
nation states.
Humanitarian considerations often
play a significant role in creating the conditions for prisoner exchanges. The
desire to reunite detained individuals with their families and to secure their
well-being can be a motivating factor.
A notable case is the exchange of US
Army Sergeant Bowe Bergdahl in 2014. Bergdahl was a US Army soldier who was
captured by the Taliban-affiliated Haqqani network in Afghanistan in June 2009
and held for nearly five years. The exchange took place on May 31, 2014, when
the US government secured Bergdahl’s release in exchange for five Taliban
detainees held at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba. Humanitarian considerations played a
role in the decision to negotiate the exchange. Bergdahl’s health and
well-being during his captivity were a significant concern and there were fears
for his life.
Conclusion
The recent exchange between the
United States and Iran is a case study in the complex dynamics of
prisoner-exchange talks. Negotiating the release of detained Americans requires
meticulous consideration of the benefits and the potential pitfalls. On the one
hand, such discussions lay the groundwork for future diplomacy with the state
that is detaining the prisoners, and serve as an example for future conflicts
with other countries. Engaging in such negotiations, however, can send a
message to other bad actors that wrongfully detaining Americans can be
fruitful.
Success hinges on the commitment of
the involved parties, and the broader geopolitical context within which they
unfold. In navigating this terrain, nations must balance the imperatives of
diplomacy, humanitarianism, and security, striving for outcomes that uphold
international norms. In parallel, the United States must continue to prioritize
preventative measures such as travel advisories or potential travel bans for
Americans to deter undesirable actions in potential hostage hotspots. Raising
the cost in terms of financial repercussions should be imposed on those who
exploit hostage diplomacy by undermining international law and human rights for
their own political or financial gains.
One such option is for states to
adopt legislation that punishes and deters human rights abusers and those
involved in significant corruption, similar to the US Magnitsky Act, passed in
2012. The Global Magnitsky Sanctions Program, which was subsequently adopted in
various forms by several countries including Canada, the United Kingdom, the
European Union, Australia, and Japan was designed as an enforcement mechanism
for governments to legally freeze assets, implement travel bans and visa
denials, and impose sanctions on individuals and entities from all over the
globe who are found guilty of infringing on the rights of others for political,
economic, or coercive gains.
The views expressed in this article
are those of the author alone and do not necessarily reflect the position of
the Foreign Policy Research Institute, a non-partisan organization that seeks
to publish well-argued, policy-oriented articles on American foreign policy and
national security priorities.
#SOURCE: http://tinyurl.com/2unzctrh
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